British Columbia +6 (-105) @ Calgary -- 2.5 units: I should have pulled the trigger last week, and I hope it's not too late now. Too many people are focussed on the Lions' DL, but IMO that's not the key. The Stamps know that to counter the pass rush they have been able to run the ball down the throat of the Lions. The Stamps also know that their QBs can run wild. They key to stopping this running attack is the Lions' linebackers, and in particular, Javy Glatt. The Lions have a great secondary, a confident secondary, and should put up a solid perforance. But the linebackers have not fared well. They need to be aware of Burris' running ability. If Wake and company can not get any consistant pressure on Burris, it will fall on the LBs to contain the QB. On the offensive side of the ball, Buck Pierce needs to get it going. He had a horrendous game last week. At one point the Lions had the same number of points (4) as takeaways (4). That is not acceptable. He will have chances, and if he can't capitalize, this will be a long day. You can only rely on Logan for so long before the Stamps will start to pack the box. Pierce has to do what he did so well during the regular season, which was taking what was given to him, and then stretching out the defence at the appropriate time. The big 3 will be open, Buck just needs to make the smart plays and keep the ball moving. Weather will not be a factor. Honestly, I think Buck will have an average game at best. I am counting on the defence to create several turnovers, and the running game to propel the Lions to the Grey Cup. I will take the points here, simply because Calgary has found a way to beat BC three times this year. However, BC is 8-2 in their last 10, while Henry Burris has only won one playoff game in his 9 year career. I truly believe that Hank is unprepared for playoff football, and what it takes to win.
Montreal/Edmonton o56.5 (-110) -- 1 unit: Dome game. Pass happy Edmonton against pass happy Montreal. Weather will not be a factor, and this game should be a shootout. If Montreal gets a lead, Edmonton will have even more reason to keep the ball in the air. Ricky Ray is on fire, and Anthony Calvillo should also pick apart the Eskies' secondary. Playoff games are usually tighter, but I see both teams getting into the 30s.
Edmonton ML (+200) @ Montreal -- 1/2 unit: I expect this game to be a shootout with both QBs getting 300+ yards. In a shootout such as this, it is very likely that the team with the ball last wins. I'll take the value here, despite Montreal's great record in the dome (see other thread).
BOL... I can't wait to watch the games tomorrow!
BC Lions (homer) bets: 7-7, -1.15 units
Normal bets: 7-7, +1.56 units
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Overall: 14-14, +0.41 units
Montreal/Edmonton o56.5 (-110) -- 1 unit: Dome game. Pass happy Edmonton against pass happy Montreal. Weather will not be a factor, and this game should be a shootout. If Montreal gets a lead, Edmonton will have even more reason to keep the ball in the air. Ricky Ray is on fire, and Anthony Calvillo should also pick apart the Eskies' secondary. Playoff games are usually tighter, but I see both teams getting into the 30s.
Edmonton ML (+200) @ Montreal -- 1/2 unit: I expect this game to be a shootout with both QBs getting 300+ yards. In a shootout such as this, it is very likely that the team with the ball last wins. I'll take the value here, despite Montreal's great record in the dome (see other thread).
BOL... I can't wait to watch the games tomorrow!
BC Lions (homer) bets: 7-7, -1.15 units
Normal bets: 7-7, +1.56 units
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Overall: 14-14, +0.41 units
